Avoiding Cognitive Biases

Posted on 2025-10-14

A cognitive bias is a systematic, often unconscious, pattern of deviation from rational judgment. These mental shortcuts, or heuristics, allow the brain to process a complex world quickly, but can also lead to predictable errors in thinking and decision-making.

Anchoring.
The first thing you judge influences your judgment of all that follows.

Human minds are associative in nature, so the order in which we receive information helps determine the course of our judgments and perceptions.

Be especially mindful of this bias during financial negotiations such as houses, cars, and salaries. The initial price offered is proven to have a significant effect.

Confirmation bias.
You look for ways to justify your existing beliefs.

We automatically find ways to make new information fit our existing narratives and preconceptions, and to dismiss information that does not. Think of your ideas and beliefs as software you’re actively trying to find problems with rather than things to be defended.

“The first principle is that you must not fool yourself – and you are the easiest person to fool.” – Richard Feynman

Backfire effect.
When your core beliefs are challenged, it can cause you to believe even more strongly.

We can experience being wrong about some ideas as an attack upon our very selves, or our tribal identity. This can lead to motivated reasoning which causes us to reinforce our beliefs even if we might accept particular facts and disconfirming evidence.

“It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so.” – Mark Twain

Declinism.
You see the past as better than it was, and expect the future to be worse than is likely.

Despite living in the most peaceful and prosperous time in history, many people believe things are getting worse. The 24 hour news cycle, with its reporting of overtly negative and violent events, may account for some of this effect.

Instead of relying on nostalgic impressions of how great things used to be, use measurable metrics such as life expectancy, levels of crime and violence, and prosperity statistics.

Just world hypothesis.
Your preference for a just world makes you presume that it exists.

A world in which people don’t always get what they deserve, hard work doesn’t always pay off, and injustice happens is an uncomfortable one that threatens our preferred narrative. However, it is also the reality. A more just world requires understanding rather than blame.

Remember that everyone has their own life story, we’re all fallible, and bad things happen to good people.

Sunk cost fallacy.
You irrationally cling to things that have already cost you something.

When we’ve invested our time, money, or emotion into something, it hurts us to let it go. This aversion to pain can distort our better judgment and cause us to make unwise investments.

To regain objectivity, ask yourself: had I not already invested something, would I still do so now? What would I counsel a friend to do if they were in the same situation?

Dunning-Kruger effect.
The more you know, the less confident you’re likely to be.

Because experts know just how much they don’t know, they tend to underestimate their ability; but it’s easy to be over-confident when you have only a simple idea of how things are.

“The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are so certain of themselves, yet wiser people so full of doubts.” – Bertrand Russell

Barnum effect.
You see personal specifics in vague statements by filling in the gaps.

Because our minds are given to making connections, it’s easy for us to take nebulous statements and find ways to interpret them so that they seem specific and personal. Psychics, astrologers and others use this bias to make it seem like they’re telling you something relevant.

Consider how things might be interpreted to apply to anyone, not just you.

Framing effect.
You allow yourself to be unduly influenced by context and delivery.

We all like to think that we think independently, but the truth is that all of us are, in fact, influenced by delivery, framing and subtle cues. This is why the ad industry is a thing, despite almost everyone believing they’re not affected by advertising messages. Only when we have the intellectual humility to accept the fact that we can be manipulated, can we hope to limit how much we are.

Try to be mindful of how things are being put to you.

In-group bias.
You unfairly favor those who belong to your group.

We presume that we’re fair and impartial, but the truth is that we automatically favor those who are most like us, or belong to our groups.

Try to imagine yourself in the position of those in out-groups; while also attempting to be dispassionate when judging those who belong to your in-groups.

Fundamental attribution error.
You judge others on their character, but yourself on the situation.

If you haven’t had a good night’s sleep, you know why you’re being a bit slow; but if you observe someone else being slow you don’t have such knowledge and so might presume them to just be a slow person. It’s not only kind to view others’ situations with charity, it’s more objective too.

Be mindful to also err on the side of taking personal responsibility rather than justifying and blaming.

Placebo effect.
If you believe you’re taking medicine it can sometimes ‘work’ even if it’s fake.

The placebo effect can work for stuff that our mind influences (such as pain) but not so much for things like viruses or broken bones. In some cases and applications, certain forms of natural medicine have been proven to be no more effective than placebo.

Keep a healthy body and bank balance by using evidence-based medicine from a qualified practioner.

Halo effect.
How much you like someone, influences your other judgments of them.

Our judgments are associative and automatic, and so if we want to be objective we need to consciously control for irrelevant influences. This is especially important in a professional setting. We’re all affected by cultural and personal prejudices.

It’s only through becoming aware of them that we can mitigate their effects.

Bystander effect.
You presume someone else is going to do something in an emergency situation.

When something terrible is happening in a public setting we can experience a kind of shock and mental paralysis that distracts us from a sense of personal responsibility. The problem is that everyone can experience this sense of deindividuation in a crowd. If there’s an emergency situation, presume to be the one who will help or call for help.

Be the change you want to see in the world.

Availability heuristic.
Your judgments are influenced by what springs most easily to mind.

How recent, emotionally powerful, or unusual your memories are can make them seem more relevant. This can cause you to apply them too readily.

Try to gain different perspectives and relevant statistical info rather than relying purely on first judgments and emotive influences.

Optimism bias.
You overestimate the likelihood of positive outcomes.

There can be benefits to a positive attitude, but it’s unwise to allow such an attitude to adversely affect our ability to make rational judgments (they’re not mutually exclusive).

If you make rational, realistic judgments you’ll have a lot more to feel positive about.

Belief bias.
If a conclusion supports your existing beliefs, you’ll rationalize anything that supports it.

It’s difficult for us to set aside our existing beliefs to consider the true merits of an argument. In practice this means that our ideas become impervious to criticism, and are perpetually reinforced.

A useful thing to ask is ‘when and how did I get this belief?’ We tend to automatically defend our ideas without ever really questioning them.

Groupthink.
You let the social dynamics of a group situation override the best outcomes.

Dissent can be uncomfortable and dangerous to one’s social standing, and so often the most confident or first voice will determine group decisions.

Rather than openly contradicting others, seek to facilitate objective means of evaluation and critical thinking practices as a group activity.

Reactance.
You’d rather do the opposite of what someone is trying to make you do.

When we feel our liberty is being constrained, our inclination is to resist, however in doing so we can over-compensate. Be careful not to lose objectivity when someone is being coercive/ manipulative, or trying to force you do something.

Wisdom springs from reflection, folly from reaction.

Curse of knowledge.
Once you understand something you presume it to be obvious to everyone.

Things makes sense once they make sense, so it can be hard to remember why they didn’t. We build complex networks of understanding and forget how intricate the path to our available knowledge really is.

When teaching someone something new, go slow and explain like they’re ten years old (without being patronizing). Repeat key points and facilitate active practice to help embed knowledge.

Self-serving bias.
You believe your failures are due to external factors, yet you’re personally responsible for your successes.

Many of us enjoy unearned privileges, luck and advantages that others do not. It’s easy to tell ourselves that we deserve these things, while blaming circumstance when things don’t go our way.

When judging others, be mindful of how this bias interacts with the just-world hypothesis, fundamental attribution error, and the in-group bias.

Pessimism bias.
You overestimate the likelihood of negative outcomes.

Pessimism is often a defense mechanism against disappointment, or it can be the result of depression and anxiety disorders. Perhaps the worst aspect of pessimism is that even if something good happens, you’ll probably feel pessmistic about it anyway.

Negativity bias. You allow negative things to disproportionately influence your thinking.

The pain of loss and hurt are felt more keenly and persistently than the fleeting gratification of pleasant things. We are primed for survival, and our aversion to pain can distort our judgment for a modern world.

Pro-and-con lists, as well as thinking in terms of probabilities, can help you evaluate things more objectively than relying on a cognitive impression.

Spotlight effect. You overestimate how much people notice how you look and act.

Most people are much more concerned about themselves than they are about you. Absent overt prejudices, people generally want to like and get along with you as it gives them validation too.

Instead of worrying about how you’re being judged, consider how you make others feel. They’ll remember this much more, and you’ll make the world a better place.

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Cuprum Met Uses2023-08-06, , , , , , herbal-medicine ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness corac-leaders-forum
Planting Garlic2023-08-05, , , , , gardening-gathering-foraging ordinary-wisdom sustainable-living corac-leaders-forum
Treating a New Bee Sting2023-08-04, , , , , homeopathy ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness corac-leaders-forum
Rabies2023-08-03, , , homeopathy ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness corac-leaders-forum
Wells and Sourcing Clean Water2023-08-02, , , , , water ordinary-wisdom sustainable-living corac-leaders-forum
Kidney Stones2023-08-01, , , , , , , homeopathy herbal-medicine ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness corac-leaders-forum
Heart Issues2023-08-01, , , , , , homeopathy ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness corac-leaders-forum
Lion’s Mane2023-07-31, , , , , , , herbal-medicine ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness corac-leaders-forum
A Heritage Deeply Embedded in the American DNA2023-07-31, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
Multivitamin Recipe2023-07-30, , , , , homeopathy ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness corac-leaders-forum
Dill Uses2023-07-29, , gardening-gathering-foraging ordinary-wisdom sustainable-living corac-leaders-forum
A Removed Gall Bladder2023-07-28, , , , homeopathy herbal-medicine ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness corac-leaders-forum
Revision of the Definition of “Brain Dead”2023-07-27, , , conventional-care ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness corac-leaders-forum
A Dead Parrot Sketch2023-07-27, , , featured-media charlies-brief corac-leaders-forum
More About the Vax2023-07-26, , , , , , , , , homeopathy herbal-medicine ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness corac-leaders-forum
Essential Oils for Pregnant Women2023-07-24, , , , herbal-medicine ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness corac-leaders-forum
Tape to Keep Tinctures and Remedies From Evaporating2023-07-23, , , , , , homeopathy herbal-medicine life-and-personal-skills ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness sustainable-living corac-leaders-forum
A Simple2023-07-22, , , , , , , , , , herbal-medicine ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness corac-leaders-forum
Preparedness2023-07-21, , , , , , , life-and-personal-skills ordinary-wisdom sustainable-living corac-leaders-forum
Adult Hand, Foot, Mouth Disease2023-07-20, , , , , , , , homeopathy herbal-medicine ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness corac-leaders-forum
Chest Congestion2023-07-19, , , , ordinary-wisdom herbal-medicine corac-leaders-forum health-and-wellness
Natural Toothpaste2023-07-18, , , life-and-personal-skills ordinary-wisdom sustainable-living corac-leaders-forum
A Grasshopper Problem in the Garden2023-07-17, , , , , , homeopathy gardening-gathering-foraging ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness sustainable-living corac-leaders-forum
CORAC Global Zoom Session 4 (Video)2023-07-17, , , , corac-leaders-forum featured-media global-meetings
Covid Vax Remedies2023-07-16, , , , , , , herbal-medicine ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness corac-leaders-forum
Malaria Remedies2023-07-15, , , , , herbal-medicine ordinary-wisdom health-and-wellness corac-leaders-forum
Continue Hoeing the Beans2023-06-29, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
Aslan is on the Move2023-06-26, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
Bind Yourself to God’s Will2023-06-20, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
Finding Our Courage2023-06-13, , , , , corac-leaders-forum leader-resources general-leaders-forum-discussion downloads-lf
Be the Lighthouse2023-05-23, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
It’s Speeding Up Dramatically, Folks2023-05-18, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
Go Forth2023-04-26, , , , , , corac-leaders-forum featured-media go-forth
CORAC Global Zoom Session 3 (Video)2023-04-24, , , , corac-leaders-forum featured-media global-meetings
Judgment Call2023-04-10, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
The Misery Farm2023-03-31, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
A New Ally2023-03-30, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
From the Ground Up2023-03-28, , , , , , , , corac-leaders-forum featured-media
CORAC Global Airmeet Session 2 (Video)2023-02-28, , , , corac-leaders-forum featured-media global-meetings
A Tower of Babel Moment2023-02-13, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
World Weariness2023-02-08, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
America: Lost in Place2023-02-08, , , corac-leaders-forum national-news featured-media
Get Back in Your Lanes2023-02-06, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
How Do We Build Anew?2023-02-02, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
Two Trains Crashing2023-01-29, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
The Quiet Girding2023-01-25, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
Keep Steady2022-12-26, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
God’s Ways Are Not Man’s Ways2022-12-15, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
Merry Christmas!2022-12-15, , , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
A Lot To Do In The New Year2022-12-09, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
Region 8 Field Day2022-11-16, , , , , , , , corac-leaders-forum regional-news other-media
What’s Required Now2022-11-03, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
Build The Right Mindeset2022-10-28, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
A Structure of Neighbors2022-10-21, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
Procession With Our Lady of Guadalupe2022-10-19, , , , , , , , , , corac-leaders-forum regional-news other-media
The Crisis in the Church Today Video2022-10-17, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
Gun Laws Event (Video Photo Album)2022-10-03, , , , , , , , corac-leaders-forum regional-news other-media
CORAC National Zoom Session 1 (Video)2022-09-21, , , , corac-leaders-forum featured-media global-meetings
CORAC National Zoom Session Invitation2022-09-01, , , , , corac-leaders-forum featured-media global-meetings
It’s Here. It’s Now. (Video)2022-08-26, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
Start Doing This Now (Video)2022-08-16, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
Value Them Both – Special Podcast2022-07-26, , , , , , , , corac-leaders-forum regional-news other-media
Think and Act Anew (Video)2022-07-22, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
We’re The Guys That Do Stuff! (Video)2022-04-20, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
A Chalk Talk (Video)2022-04-08, , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
Consider the Squirrels2022-01-22, , , , , , other-media inspiring-stories corac-leaders-forum
A Gut Punch to Mandatory Compliance2022-01-12, , , , charlies-brief featured-media corac-leaders-forum
Region 8 Newsletter2021-12-10, , , , , , corac-leaders-forum regional-news other-media
Simple Quotes to Ponder in Charity2021-11-12, , , , , corac-leaders-forum general-leaders-forum-discussion downloads-lf
Simple Quotes to Ponder on the Road to Renewal2021-11-12, , , , , corac-leaders-forum general-leaders-forum-discussion downloads-lf
Stuff Every Leader Should Be Doing to Serve Well2021-11-03, , , , , , corac-leaders-forum leader-resources general-leaders-forum-discussion downloads-lf
Stuff We Should Be Doing Every Day2021-11-01, , , , , , corac-leaders-forum leader-resources general-leaders-forum-discussion downloads-lf
What is CORAC?2021-10-31, , , , , , , corac-leaders-forum top-stories national-news regional-news leader-resources general-leaders-forum-discussion other-media
Building Bridges (Updated)2021-09-19, , , , , inspiring-stories corac-leaders-forum
Bibles, Beans & Bullets2021-09-13, , , , , , , corac-leaders-forum regional-news other-media
Overcoming “Busyness”2021-09-08, , , , corac-leaders-forum leader-resources downloads-lf
The Map On The Wall2021-09-05, , , corac-leaders-forum leader-resources downloads-lf
Doing it Anyway2021-08-21, , , , , inspiring-stories corac-leaders-forum
Taking a Stand2021-08-13, , , , , inspiring-stories corac-leaders-forum
Jab Religious Exemption Downloads2021-07-30, , , , , , health-and-wellness health-news corac-leaders-forum downloads-hw downloads-lf
Team Building Guide2021-06-16, , , , , corac-leaders-forum leader-resources downloads-lf
Leaders Forum – General Discussion2021-06-15, , corac-leaders-forum general-leaders-forum-discussion
Defending The Constitution2021-05-24, , , , , inspiring-stories corac-leaders-forum
Walking With The Real Presence2021-01-28, , , , , inspiring-stories corac-leaders-forum
Celebrating Life2020-12-07, , , , inspiring-stories corac-leaders-forum
Living Rosary2020-08-15, , , , , inspiring-stories corac-leaders-forum

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